Oleksandria 0-1 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.51
Over
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
0.90/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.07
-17% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
05.10.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-1 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
04.05.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-2 HT 1-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
28.10.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
26.09.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKRK
04.06.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oleksandria
0-1
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rukh Vynnyky squeezed past Oleksandria 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Rukh Vynnyky made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Oleksandria had 51% of the ball to Rukh Vynnyky's 49%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oleksandria had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oleksandria and 0.67 for Rukh Vynnyky.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Oleksandria 0-1 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 34%, draw 31%, Rukh Vynnyky 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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