Scunthorpe United 2-0 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 30 Dec 2025

Scunthorpe United
2-0 HT 1-0
Gateshead
📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Scunthorpe United vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.64
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
28%
2.51
6+ Goals
10%
5.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.61
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.8
X/1
17%
4.13
X/2
7%
15.75
X/X
8%
8.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
19.35
2/2
6%
12.0
2/X
7%
20.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 7% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
-5.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Scunthorpe United v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.74/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.07
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Scunthorpe United vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gateshead
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 2-0 HT 2-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İBSL
25.10.2022 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 3-1 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL

Scunthorpe United 2-0 Gateshead — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
2-0
AWAY Gateshead
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United saw off Gateshead 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 65% of the ball to Gateshead's 35%, shots finished 16-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.50 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Gateshead?

Scunthorpe United 2-0 Gateshead in the England - National League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 62%, draw 21%, Gateshead 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
30 Dec 2025
22:45 Woking vs Braintree Town Analysis →
22:45 Rochdale vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
22:45 Carlisle United vs Morecambe Analysis →
22:45 Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone Analysis →
22:45 Southend United vs Sutton United Analysis →
22:45 Tamworth vs Halifax Town Analysis →