Rochdale vs Hartlepool United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rochdale v Hartlepool United — Team-Based Signals
Rochdale vs Hartlepool United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-3
Rochdale
İBSL
2-0
HT 0-0
Rochdale
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Hartlepool United
İN2
Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool United — Actual Match Statistics
Hartlepool United nicked a narrow win over Rochdale 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rochdale at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Rochdale had 56% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 44%, shots finished 6-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rochdale and 1.33 for Hartlepool United.
What was the final score of Rochdale vs Hartlepool United?
Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Hartlepool United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 60%, draw 23%, Hartlepool United 17%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.