Southend United 1-0 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 30 Dec 2025

Southend United
1-0 HT 1-0
Sutton United
📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Southend United vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
10%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.74
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.7
X/1
18%
4.07
X/2
6%
13.85
X/X
7%
6.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.85
2/2
10%
11.0
2/X
5%
19.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.0pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.0pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southend United v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.79/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.99
-9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
64 · 95% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 41 · 95%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Southend United vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sutton United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.04.2025 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
14.09.2024 Southend United Southend United 1-3 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Southend United 1-0 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
1-0
AWAY Sutton United
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United squeezed past Sutton United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Southend United had 46% of the ball to Sutton United's 54%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southend United and 2.00 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Sutton United?

Southend United 1-0 Sutton United in the England - National League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Southend United 62%, draw 17%, Sutton United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Over 2.5
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