Sutton United 1-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Apr 2025

Sutton United
1-1 HT 0-1
Southend United
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Sutton United vs Southend United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.13
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
14%
6.77
X/2
12%
4.81
X/X
10%
4.52
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.04
2/X
13%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Southend United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.15/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.98
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
111 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 125 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

Sutton United vs Southend United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Southend United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Southend United Southend United 1-3 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Sutton United 1-1 Southend United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-1
AWAY Southend United
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United and Southend United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Sutton United had 45% of the ball to Southend United's 55%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Southend United?

Sutton United 1-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 33%, draw 29%, Southend United 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Southend United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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