Al Nasr 2-1 Al Urooba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
6.54
2-3 Goals
41%
2.13
4-5 Goals
32%
2.36
6+ Goals
12%
4.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.0pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.7pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.99/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.22
-22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -19%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
25.3 Crosses 11.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Urooba
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.64 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
444 Passes 259
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAELK
23.08.2024 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-5 HT 0-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
17.08.2024 Al Urooba Al Urooba 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
11.02.2022 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
26.08.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 5-0 HT 3-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Urooba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr edged past Al Urooba 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Nasr had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Al Nasr and 0.60 for Al Urooba.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Urooba?

Al Nasr 2-1 Al Urooba in the UAE - League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Urooba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 63%, draw 21%, Al Urooba 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
31 Jan 2025
16:15 Al Sharjah vs Dibba Al Hisn Analysis →
16:15 Ajman vs Al Wahda Analysis →
19:00 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Baniyas SC Analysis →