Clermont 0-1 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 31 Jan 2025

Clermont
0-1 HT 0-0
Ajaccio
📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Clermont vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
17%
4.29
X/2
9%
8.98
X/X
19%
3.79
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
7%
7.85
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.54/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.35
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
21.0 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Clermont vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
379 Passes 261
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
02.04.2023 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR1
02.10.2022 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-3 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
20.02.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-2 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
24.10.2020 Clermont Clermont 0-2 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
22.11.2019 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2

Clermont 0-1 Ajaccio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
0-1
AWAY Ajaccio
1.00 xG 1.78
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
564 Passes 244
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio nicked a narrow win over Clermont 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Clermont at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Clermont had 68% of the ball to Ajaccio's 32%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.00 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Clermont and 1.17 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Ajaccio?

Clermont 0-1 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Clermont 47%, draw 30%, Ajaccio 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Clermont) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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