Dunkerque 0-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 31 Jan 2025

Dunkerque
0-1 HT 0-0
Martigues
📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Dunkerque vs Martigues Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.46
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.5
X/1
21%
4.0
X/2
7%
11.5
X/X
9%
5.55
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
4%
9.59
2/X
9%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunkerque v Martigues — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / +57%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
– Crosses 11.5
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Dunkerque vs Martigues Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Martigues
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 1.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
536 Passes 173
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 16
37 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Martigues Martigues 1-1 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
24.04.2023 Martigues Martigues 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR3
02.12.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-0 Martigues Martigues FR3

Dunkerque 0-1 Martigues — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
0-1
AWAY Martigues
1.26 xG 0.58
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
441 Passes 191
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues squeezed past Dunkerque 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Dunkerque carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dunkerque had 66% of the ball to Martigues's 34%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.26 to 0.58 — on chances, Dunkerque could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Martigues led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dunkerque and 1.00 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Martigues?

Dunkerque 0-1 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 61%, draw 22%, Martigues 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dunkerque) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✓ BTTS No
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