Istra 1961 0-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.45
6+ Goals
10%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.36/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.38
+3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
16.7 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.80 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
403 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
10.08.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
17.03.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
09.12.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
23.09.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
13.05.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
0.99 xG 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
406 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and HNK Gorica fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Istra 1961 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 59% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 41%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Istra 1961 and 0.50 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?

Istra 1961 0-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 44%, draw 26%, HNK Gorica 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Istra 1961) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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