Banbury United 1-0 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.75
-31% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banbury United
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Barwell
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2025 Barwell Barwell 1-0 HT 1-0 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
21.12.2024 Banbury United Banbury United 1-2 HT 0-2 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
12.08.2024 Barwell Barwell 0-1 HT 0-0 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
09.04.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-6 HT 2-3 Banbury United Banbury United İNGNLP
21.08.2021 Banbury United Banbury United 3-2 HT 2-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banbury United
1-0
AWAY Barwell
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banbury United squeezed past Barwell 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Banbury United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Banbury United had 51% of the ball to Barwell's 49%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Banbury United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Banbury United and 1.40 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs Barwell?

Banbury United 1-0 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banbury United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 50%, draw 25%, Barwell 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banbury United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banbury United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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