Ospitaletto 1-2 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ospitaletto EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.34/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.19
+9% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ospitaletto
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lumezzane
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2025 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-0 HT 1-0 Ospitaletto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ospitaletto
1-2
AWAY Lumezzane
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane nicked a narrow win over Ospitaletto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lumezzane found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ospitaletto had 52% of the ball to Lumezzane's 48%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?

Ospitaletto 1-2 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ospitaletto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ospitaletto 38%, draw 26%, Lumezzane 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ospitaletto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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