Lumezzane 2-0 Ospitaletto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
3.99
6+ Goals
7%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ospitaletto EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
2-0
AWAY Ospitaletto
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Ospitaletto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane beat Ospitaletto 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Lumezzane made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lumezzane had 50% of the ball to Ospitaletto's 50%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Ospitaletto?

Lumezzane 2-0 Ospitaletto in the Italy - Serie C on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Ospitaletto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ospitaletto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 35%, draw 28%, Ospitaletto 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ospitaletto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ospitaletto) ✓ Under 2.5
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