Casarano 3-0 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.85
6+ Goals
12%
18.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.85 — our 23% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.3pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
3-0
AWAY Cavese
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano swept aside Cavese 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Casarano made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Casarano had 49% of the ball to Cavese's 51%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Cavese?

Casarano 3-0 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casarano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Casarano 40%, draw 32%, Cavese 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casarano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casarano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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