Lecco 3-1 Trento AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
24.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Trento AC EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.72/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.01
+32% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Trento AC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 Lecco Lecco 1-2 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
01.09.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 1-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
05.03.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 2-0 HT 2-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
30.10.2022 Lecco Lecco 1-2 HT 0-2 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
26.03.2022 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 2-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
21.11.2021 Trento AC Trento AC 3-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
3-1
AWAY Trento AC
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Trento AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco beat Trento AC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lecco as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecco had 40% of the ball to Trento AC's 60%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trento AC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lecco and 1.83 for Trento AC.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Trento AC?

Lecco 3-1 Trento AC in the Italy - Serie C on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Trento AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lecco 43%, draw 26%, Trento AC 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5
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