Novara 0-1 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.82
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.42/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.36
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
24.09.2024 Novara Novara 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
16.03.2024 Novara Novara 2-2 HT 2-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
13.11.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 3-3 HT 2-1 Novara Novara İTC
29.01.2023 Novara Novara 0-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
24.09.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-2 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
0-1
AWAY Pro Vercelli
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novara vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli squeezed past Novara 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Novara at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Novara had 58% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 42%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novara and 1.33 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Novara vs Pro Vercelli?

Novara 0-1 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Novara 47%, draw 25%, Pro Vercelli 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
21 Sep 2025
13:30 Pergolettese vs Internazionale II Analysis →
13:30 Alcione vs Renate Analysis →
16:00 Lecco vs Trento AC Analysis →
16:00 Vicenza vs Pro Patria Analysis →
16:00 Casarano vs Cavese Analysis →
16:00 Team Altamura vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →