Vicenza 3-0 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.82
Over 2.5
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.53
No
48%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
31%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
73%
-1.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.6pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
36%
+16.0pp
48%
BTTS No
64%
-16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 11%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -9%
2.00/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.59
+10% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
473 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Pro Patria
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2025 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-3 HT 0-2 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
15.09.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
16.03.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
11.11.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 3-1 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
07.11.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 3-2 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTCK
05.02.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-0 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
3-0
AWAY Pro Patria
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza swept aside Pro Patria 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Vicenza had 60% of the ball to Pro Patria's 40%, shots finished 21-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vicenza and 0.83 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Pro Patria?

Vicenza 3-0 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 72%, draw 17%, Pro Patria 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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