Pro Patria 0-1 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
0.57/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.24
-39% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vicenza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 3-1 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
07.11.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 3-2 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTCK
05.02.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-0 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
09.10.2022 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
30.09.2020 Vicenza Vicenza 3-2 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTK
23.02.2014 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
0-1
AWAY Vicenza
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza edged past Pro Patria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pro Patria had 52% of the ball to Vicenza's 48%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pro Patria and 1.83 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Vicenza?

Pro Patria 0-1 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 27%, draw 25%, Vicenza 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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