Alcione 1-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.7pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +28%
1.22/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.03
-1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Renate
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
11.01.2025 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-1 Alcione İTC
07.09.2024 Alcione 0-1 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
1-1
AWAY Renate
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione and Renate couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alcione at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alcione had 63% of the ball to Renate's 37%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alcione and 0.50 for Renate.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Renate?

Alcione 1-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcione win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alcione 43%, draw 26%, Renate 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alcione) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcione) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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