Pianese 1-2 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.2
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.26/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.84
+8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pianese
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
22.03.2025 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
10.11.2024 Pianese Pianese 2-0 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
1-2
AWAY Vis Pesaro
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro nicked a narrow win over Pianese 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Vis Pesaro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pianese had 51% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 49%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pianese and 0.67 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Vis Pesaro?

Pianese 1-2 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pianese 38%, draw 27%, Vis Pesaro 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pianese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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