Sorrento Calcio 3-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
55%
Away Win
59%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.76/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.67
-13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Catania
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
22.12.2024 Catania Catania 4-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
24.08.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
18.12.2023 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-1 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
3-1
AWAY Catania
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio beat Catania 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. Catania carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 41% of the ball to Catania's 59%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Sorrento Calcio and 1.00 for Catania.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Catania?

Sorrento Calcio 3-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 17%, draw 28%, Catania 55%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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