Farense vs Porto II Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Porto II — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Porto II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Porto II
POR2
4-0
HT 1-0
Farense
POR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Porto II
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Farense
POR2
Farense 2-3 Porto II — Actual Match Statistics
Porto II nicked a narrow win over Farense 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Farense at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Farense had 59% of the ball to Porto II's 41%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.40 to 1.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Farense and 0.83 for Porto II.
What was the final score of Farense vs Porto II?
Farense 2-3 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Porto II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Farense 50%, draw 27%, Porto II 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.