Vizela vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vizela v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Vizela vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Portimonense
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Vizela
POR
Vizela 1-1 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Vizela and Portimonense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vizela at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Vizela had 56% of the ball to Portimonense's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.13 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vizela had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vizela and 1.17 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Vizela vs Portimonense?
Vizela 1-1 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vizela vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vizela 55%, draw 23%, Portimonense 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vizela), BTTS No went the other way.