Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Felgueiras 1932 v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Chaves
POK
Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Felgueiras 1932 edged past Chaves 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 43% of the ball to Chaves's 57%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.71 to 2.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chaves.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chaves led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 1.25 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves?
Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 41%, draw 26%, Chaves 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.