Arenteiro 1-1 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.86
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 33%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +28%
1.43/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.82
+15% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.59 xG 1.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
209 Passes 365
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-2 HT 2-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenteiro
1-1
AWAY Real Sociedad II
0.31 xG 1.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 8
330 Passes 167
74% Pass Accuracy 61%
22 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro and Real Sociedad II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Arenteiro had 61% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 39%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.31 to 1.42.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Real Sociedad II?

Arenteiro 1-1 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 37%, draw 32%, Real Sociedad II 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arenteiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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