Matagalpa 5-2 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.45/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.35
+1% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-3 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
01.09.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
03.03.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
10.11.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
04.09.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-2 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
02.04.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa swept aside Export Sebaco 5-2. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Matagalpa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Matagalpa and 0.83 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco?

Matagalpa 5-2 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 39%, draw 27%, Export Sebaco 34%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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