FC Seoul 1-3 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.74
Over 2.5
34%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
51%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
4.16
6+ Goals
6%
19.45
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.82 — our 51% vs market 48.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.21
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
9%
4.07
X/2
6%
9.94
X/X EV+ ✗
25%
4.73
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
12%
8.59
2/X
4%
17.2
Value flag · X/X at 4.73 — our 25% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.8pp
35%
Draw
25%
+10.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
54%
+12.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
46%
-12.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.98/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.77
+30% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jeju United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
410 Passes 386
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
16.08.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
06.07.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
16.03.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
11.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
23.09.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
1-3
AWAY Jeju United
65% Ball Possession 35%
30 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 2
567 Passes 298
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
44 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United got the better of FC Seoul 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Seoul at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Seoul had 65% of the ball to Jeju United's 35%, shots finished 30-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Seoul and 1.00 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Jeju United?

FC Seoul 1-3 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 43%, draw 35%, Jeju United 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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