Vancouver FC 2-2 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
52%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 53%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.11/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.87
-41% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.4 Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 2.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
343 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-4 HT 0-3 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
19.10.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
01.09.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
13.05.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
10.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
16.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
2-2
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.12 xG 2.20
31% Ball Possession 69%
14 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
189 Passes 546
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC and Atletico Ottawa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 31% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 69%, shots finished 14-23, expected goals 1.12 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.67 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa?

Vancouver FC 2-2 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 25%, draw 23%, Atletico Ottawa 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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