Çaykur Rizespor 5-2 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.77/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.01
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.4 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hatayspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 1.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.01.2025 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
26.05.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
06.01.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-0 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
23.01.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
12.09.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
13.03.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
5-2
AWAY Hatayspor
4.82 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 13
14 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
295 Passes 285
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
44 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor swept aside Hatayspor 5-2. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 50% of the ball to Hatayspor's 50%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 4.82 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 0.83 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Hatayspor?

Çaykur Rizespor 5-2 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 56%, draw 24%, Hatayspor 20%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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