31/07/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-3
Aris Limassol vs Udinese Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
27%
Draw
23%
47%
Away Win
55%
45%
Under 2.5
43%
55%
Over 2.5
57%
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
43%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aris Limassol v Udinese — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aris Limassol
EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY
Udinese
EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+12%
/
-26%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
328 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
391 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Aris Limassol vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Udinese squeezed past Aris Limassol 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Udinese as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Aris Limassol vs Udinese?
Aris Limassol 0-1 Udinese in the Friendlies on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aris Limassol vs Udinese?
Before kick-off our model rated an Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aris Limassol 26%, draw 27%, Udinese 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Udinese)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
31 Jul 2024