Real Oviedo 3-2 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 30% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 32%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
3-2
AWAY Al Ettifaq
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo squeezed past Al Ettifaq 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Real Oviedo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 57% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 43%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Al Ettifaq?

Real Oviedo 3-2 Al Ettifaq in the Friendlies on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 39%, draw 28%, Al Ettifaq 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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