Elche 0-6 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 34% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 33%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.41/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.99
-9% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
4 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
18.04.2010 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
14.11.2009 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-2 HT 0-2 Elche Elche İS2
31.05.2009 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
03.01.2009 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-2 HT 2-2 Elche Elche İS2
10.05.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
08.12.2007 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
0-6
AWAY CD Castellon
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Elche vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon swept aside Elche 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day CD Castellon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elche had 54% of the ball to CD Castellon's 46%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elche and 0.67 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Elche vs CD Castellon?

Elche 0-6 CD Castellon in the Friendlies on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elche 40%, draw 30%, CD Castellon 30%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Elche), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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