Banga Gargzdai 0-2 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
45%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 25% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
11%
+21.9pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
45%
Away Win
71%
-25.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
223 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rosenborg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
27% Ball Possession 73%
3 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 5-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0-2
AWAY Rosenborg
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg got the better of Banga Gargzdai 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 43% of the ball to Rosenborg's 57%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Rosenborg?

Banga Gargzdai 0-2 Rosenborg in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 33%, draw 22%, Rosenborg 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ BTTS No
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