HJK Helsinki 2-2 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
13%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 22%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-12% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -58%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.07.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
2-2
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki and Arda Kardzhali couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 57% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 43%, shots finished 18-17.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Arda Kardzhali?

HJK Helsinki 2-2 Arda Kardzhali in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 53%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5
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