Spartak Trnava 5-1 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
22%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.94
2-3 Goals
41%
2.05
4-5 Goals
26%
2.43
6+ Goals
11%
5.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
80%
-21.3pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
6%
+15.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+12.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-12.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
3.55/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.59
+40% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +150%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
490 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Hibernians FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
24.07.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava AVKL
07.07.2016 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava AVL
30.06.2016 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-0 HT 2-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC AVL
03.07.2014 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-4 HT 0-3 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
5-1
AWAY Hibernians FC
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 4
16 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava ran out comfortable winners over Hibernians FC 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 68% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 32%, shots finished 23-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Spartak Trnava and 0.75 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Hibernians FC?

Spartak Trnava 5-1 Hibernians FC in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 58%, draw 20%, Hibernians FC 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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