Hibernians FC 1-2 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
5.91
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
44%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 34% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
14%
+17.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
44%
Away Win
64%
-19.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 69%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.45
+3% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -39%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
7.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
07.07.2016 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava AVL
30.06.2016 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-0 HT 2-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC AVL
03.07.2014 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-4 HT 0-3 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
1-2
AWAY Spartak Trnava
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava edged past Hibernians FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 47% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 53%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hibernians FC and 3.33 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Spartak Trnava?

Hibernians FC 1-2 Spartak Trnava in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 32%, draw 24%, Spartak Trnava 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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