Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 24 Jul 2025

Kauno Zalgiris
1-1 HT 0-0
Valur
📅24/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2025/2026

Kauno Zalgiris vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kauno Zalgiris v Valur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.00/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-36% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 Valur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1-1
AWAY Valur
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris and Valur couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 56% of the ball to Valur's 44%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Valur?

Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 Valur in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 40%, draw 28%, Valur 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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