St Josephs 0-4 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
8%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Josephs EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Josephs
0-4
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St Josephs vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers cruised past St Josephs 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St Josephs had 42% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 58%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of St Josephs vs Shamrock Rovers?

St Josephs 0-4 Shamrock Rovers in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Josephs vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St Josephs 26%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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