Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
7.95
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.74
Over 2.5
56%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.6
No
55%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
10%
+13.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
54%
Away Win
71%
-16.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
54%
-9.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
46%
+9.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
66%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 75%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -78% / -78%
0.73/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -72%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
0-2
AWAY AIK
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK saw off Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 49% of the ball to AIK's 51%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs AIK?

Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 AIK in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 24%, draw 22%, AIK 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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