FC Astana 1-1 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.79
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
6.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-16.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
9%
+11.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 12%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.05/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.94
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -42%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
485 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
5.0 Crosses 9.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Astana
1-1
AWAY Zimbru
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana and Zimbru couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. FC Astana carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Astana had 68% of the ball to Zimbru's 32%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Zimbru?

FC Astana 1-1 Zimbru in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 57%, draw 21%, Zimbru 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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