Dila Gori 3-3 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
7%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 35% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.86/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.22
+23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 20.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Riga FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
3-3
AWAY Riga FC
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori and Riga FC couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dila Gori at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dila Gori had 44% of the ball to Riga FC's 56%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Riga FC?

Dila Gori 3-3 Riga FC in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 43%, draw 28%, Riga FC 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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