Riga FC 2-1 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.76
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 23% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.4pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.86/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-3% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
63.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
42.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-1
AWAY Dila Gori
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC squeezed past Dila Gori 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Riga FC had 44% of the ball to Dila Gori's 56%, shots finished 18-10.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Dila Gori?

Riga FC 2-1 Dila Gori in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 59%, draw 19%, Dila Gori 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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