One Knoxville 2-2 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 31 Jul 2025

📅31/07/2025 · 🕒02:44 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.37/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.69
-8% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
18.0 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
472 Passes 328
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-1 HT 1-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
07.09.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
17.03.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-2 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
01.10.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
27.08.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
18.06.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
2-2
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.03 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
301 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville and Charlotte Independence shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, One Knoxville had 50% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 50%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.03 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for One Knoxville and 1.17 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?

One Knoxville 2-2 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 31/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 39%, draw 28%, Charlotte Independence 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Under 2.5
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