KTP Kotka 2-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.32
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.07
2-3 Goals
33%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.54
6+ Goals
15%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
33%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
71%
-3.3pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.6pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
2.79/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.26
+17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
5W-1D-0L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2026 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
07.03.2026 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
19.08.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-3 HT 1-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
20.06.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
24.04.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 5-1 HT 3-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
12.08.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
2-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka squeezed past SJK Akatemia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 18-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for KTP Kotka and 0.83 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia?

KTP Kotka 2-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 68%, draw 16%, SJK Akatemia 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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