Belenenses 1-1 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2026

Belenenses
1-1
Estoril
📅31/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Belenenses vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.23
Over 2.5
42%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 31% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
41%
+16.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
59%
-16.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Belenenses v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belenenses EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril EU Bookmakers 59%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Belenenses vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belenenses
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Estoril
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2025 Belenenses Belenenses 1-2 HT 0-1 Estoril Estoril POK
29.07.2023 Estoril Estoril 5-1 HT 1-0 Belenenses Belenenses PRLK
24.04.2022 Estoril Estoril 2-2 HT 2-0 Belenenses Belenenses POR
12.12.2021 Belenenses Belenenses 0-1 HT 0-1 Estoril Estoril POR
17.02.2018 Estoril Estoril 0-2 HT 0-1 Belenenses Belenenses POR
17.09.2017 Belenenses Belenenses 2-1 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR

Belenenses 1-1 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belenenses
1-1
AWAY Estoril
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belenenses vs Estoril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belenenses and Estoril couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Belenenses and 1.83 for Estoril.

What was the final score of Belenenses vs Estoril?

Belenenses 1-1 Estoril in the Friendlies on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belenenses vs Estoril?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Belenenses 28%, draw 27%, Estoril 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estoril) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril) ✓ Under 2.5
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