Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 54%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.00/2.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/3.09
-18% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -61%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
191 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Gillingham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
22.07.2025 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham HAZ
02.08.2014 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-2
AWAY Gillingham
4 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham squeezed past Ebbsfleet United 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gillingham as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 0.50 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Gillingham?

Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Gillingham in the Friendlies on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 25%, draw 29%, Gillingham 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gillingham) ✓ BTTS Yes
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