Sutton United 1-2 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 31 Aug 2024

Sutton United
1-2 HT 0-1
Forest Green Rovers
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.45
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
15%
5.27
X/2
10%
5.75
X/X
11%
4.79
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
18%
3.89
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.98/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.38
+38% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.83 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
195 Passes 246
60% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
02.09.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
12.02.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
07.08.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
14.03.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 0-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
15.10.2016 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 1-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers FAK

Sutton United 1-2 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-2
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers nicked a narrow win over Sutton United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Forest Green Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sutton United had 63% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 37%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sutton United and 1.17 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers?

Sutton United 1-2 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 39%, draw 27%, Forest Green Rovers 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✗ Under 2.5
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