Scarborough Athletic 1-2 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 28% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.89/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.44
+24% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
0W-1D-3L
AWAY South Shields
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 South Shields South Shields İCON
19.08.2023 South Shields South Shields 1-0 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
01.01.2022 South Shields South Shields 1-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İNGNLP
30.08.2021 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 South Shields South Shields İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
1-2
AWAY South Shields
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields nicked a narrow win over Scarborough Athletic 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; South Shields found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 53% of the ball to South Shields's 47%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, South Shields led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.25 for South Shields.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields?

Scarborough Athletic 1-2 South Shields in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 37%, draw 30%, South Shields 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5
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