Skelleftea 3-1 Umea FC Akademi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.4pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skelleftea EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
2.48/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/3.65
-4% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
446 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skelleftea
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Umea FC Akademi
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
27.04.2024 Umea FC Akademi 2-3 HT 0-2 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
01.10.2022 Skelleftea Skelleftea 4-0 HT 4-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
30.10.2021 Umea FC Akademi 1-1 HT 1-0 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
03.07.2021 Skelleftea Skelleftea 1-2 HT 1-1 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skelleftea beat Umea FC Akademi 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Skelleftea as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Skelleftea had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Skelleftea and 1.25 for Umea FC Akademi.

What was the final score of Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi?

Skelleftea 3-1 Umea FC Akademi in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skelleftea vs Umea FC Akademi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skelleftea win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Skelleftea 64%, draw 17%, Umea FC Akademi 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skelleftea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skelleftea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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