Monaro Panthers 1-2 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒10:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
35%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.8pp
35%
Away Win
52%
-16.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaro Panthers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.31/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.72
-6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +89%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaro Panthers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Canberra FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVTCT
19.05.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 0-0 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
19.08.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 0-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVNPL
25.06.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVTCT
06.05.2023 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers 1-0 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
01.10.2022 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Monaro Panthers Monaro Panthers AVTCT
POST-MATCH Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC squeezed past Monaro Panthers 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Canberra FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaro Panthers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monaro Panthers and 0.83 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC?

Monaro Panthers 1-2 Canberra FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaro Panthers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Monaro Panthers 36%, draw 29%, Canberra FC 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaro Panthers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaro Panthers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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