Carshalton Athletic 3-1 Haywards Heath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.9pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carshalton Athletic EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Haywards Heath EU Bookmakers 24%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-49% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Carshalton Athletic vs Haywards Heath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carshalton Athletic saw off Haywards Heath 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carshalton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Carshalton Athletic vs Haywards Heath?

Carshalton Athletic 3-1 Haywards Heath in the England - FA Cup on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carshalton Athletic vs Haywards Heath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carshalton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carshalton Athletic 48%, draw 30%, Haywards Heath 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carshalton Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carshalton Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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